# AI Uncertainty and Carpe Diem: An Ordinary Person's Thoughts


After reading the recent magazines and reports, my honest advice is this: while these next couple of years are still livable, seize the day and go enjoy yourself.

Two assumptions:

1. Suppose AI really does keep breaking through and takes over most people's jobs. Society will inevitably enter a turbulent period of painful adjustment, and nobody knows what will happen.

2. Suppose AI fails to break through and, in the end, cannot create that much value. Given the enormous leverage the whole world has piled onto AI today, the fallout when the bubble bursts would be no smaller than the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis. Nobody knows what will happen.

So make the most of these two years, while nothing has happened yet.

In the face of such enormous uncertainty about the future, what any individual can contribute is vanishingly small.

